Politics2 predictorsEnds in 99d
Will there be a US federal government shutdown in 2026?
27%chance
27% called YES
Will there be a US federal government shutdown in 2026?
27%chance
Rules
Resolves YES if there is at least one lapse in US federal government appropriations (a "shutdown") lasting 24 hours or longer at any point in calendar 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Resolution source: official US government / major news reporting.